Radar Markets · Intelligence Terminal · Radar-Compass Strategic OS

The signal is not the trade. The signal is what the market is about to price.

A daily intelligence terminal for active traders and small fund managers. Every position is grounded in the verified Tier 1 signal record, with a one-sentence mechanism thesis, a concrete break condition, and full provenance to the source signals.

Intelligence, not advice · Subscribers execute independently · 50-subscriber cap
Semiconductor supplyDollar system stressGulf banking liquidityHormuz transit Helium bufferSPR exhaustionYuan energy settlementIEEPA elimination Correspondent bankingPetrodollar architectureDeposit flightSafe haven flows Semiconductor supplyDollar system stressGulf banking liquidityHormuz transit Helium bufferSPR exhaustionYuan energy settlementIEEPA elimination Correspondent bankingPetrodollar architectureDeposit flightSafe haven flows
The problem

Most market intelligence describes what happened. Radar Markets reads what is about to be priced.

The active trader's problem is not lack of information. It is the opposite. There are ten thousand words written every morning about every thematic you care about, most of them rephrasings of the same news cycle, none of them telling you what a trading position should look like against the actual structural state of the system.

The structural state lives underneath the news. It is readable — but only if you are watching the right categories simultaneously, only if you are applying a real signal test to every headline, and only if you are willing to be honest about what the signal does and does not imply for a position.

Radar Markets is the output of that discipline, rendered as a daily brief of six to eight positions, each grounded in specific Tier 1 record IDs. Every thesis names the mechanism. Every break condition is observable. Every position can be traced back to its intelligence source.

How it works

Twelve categories. Two criteria. One daily brief of six to eight positions.

The Radar pipeline runs against twelve global system categories every day at 05:00 UTC, applies a strict two-criterion signal test, and produces a daily intelligence brief. Radar Markets takes the verified Tier 1 record and translates it into trading positions — with signal provenance preserved end to end.

STEP 01

Daily pipeline

~240 headlines retrieved across twelve domains simultaneously. Cross-category clusters identified. Not sequentially — simultaneously. That is what no single human attention can replicate.

STEP 02

Tier 1 verification

Two-criterion signal test: does it reveal system state or the approach of a structural threshold? Does it add new directional information? Most headlines fail. What remains is the signal record.

STEP 03

Position generation

The Tier 1 record is translated into six to eight positions. Each names a specific instrument, a directional thesis grounded in the signals, a concrete break condition, the key non-thesis risk, and a time horizon.

STEP 04

Signal provenance

Every position cites the exact Tier 1 record IDs that ground it — usually two to four. The subscriber can cross-reference back to the retrieved headline, its source tier, and its Criterion A verdict.

STEP 05

Dual delivery

A branded PDF for the subscriber. A machine-readable JSON schema for downstream automation. Primary execution resolvable to exchange, symbol, and contract type. No ambiguity.

STEP 06

Alerts & overlay

New Tier 1 signals are assessed live against your open positions. Submit your holdings and Radar maps the full signal record against them — tailwinds, headwinds, direction-correct alignment, every finding tied to a signal ID.

From the April 20 brief

What a Radar Markets position looks like.

Real positions delivered on 20 April 2026. Each names the mechanism, the number, and the break condition — not the theme. The full brief is linked below.

P1 — Short
semiconductor_supply_constraint

SMH — VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF

ARCX · SMH · spot_etf
Short Medium conviction

Helium and bromine supply disruption creates immediate chip fab production halt risk since these materials cannot be substituted, while TSMC consuming 9% of Taiwan's electricity faces direct production capacity constraints from energy supply interruption.

Break condition Alternative helium sourcing secured for major fabs OR Middle East materials supply chains restore normal flow OR energy supply to Taiwan fabs stabilizes.
20260420-CAT6-001 20260420-CAT6-002 20260420-CAT6-007
P3 — Short
gulf_financial_breakdown

XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund

ARCX · XLF · spot_etf
Short Medium conviction

Gulf banks facing $307 billion deposit flight representing 30–40% of regional banking liquidity creates systemic funding gap that forces deleveraging across correspondent banking relationships and global credit markets during peak energy revenue loss.

Break condition Gulf banking liquidity stabilizes through central bank intervention OR deposit flight reverses below 10% of regional liquidity OR energy revenues restore normal Gulf fiscal positions.
20260420-CAT4-001 20260420-CAT2-006

Download the full 20 April brief

Three positions, full portfolio synthesis, signal provenance, machine-readable schema. This is what subscribers receive every day.

Download sample (PDF)
Access

One tier. One price. Fifty subscribers.

The price is anchored to the value of one good trade per month. It is not negotiable. The 50-subscriber early access cap is honest — not artificial scarcity. When it is full, it closes.

Early access

Radar Markets — Intelligence Terminal

A$1,997/ month
Billed monthly · Cancel anytime · Intelligence, not advice
  • Daily markets brief — 6–8 positions, each with mechanism thesis, break condition, key risk, horizon, conviction, and signal IDs
  • Machine-readable schema for downstream execution products
  • Portfolio overlay — your holdings mapped against today's full Tier 1 signal record, direction-correct alignment
  • Live alerts — new Tier 1 signals assessed against open positions as they land
  • Branded PDF, JSON archive, full brief history
  • Interrogation terminal — ask anything about today's brief, grounded in the signal record
Subscribe now
You will create an account, then be taken to Stripe Checkout. Radar Markets does not place trades, connect to brokerages, or act on positions. Subscribers make all decisions and execute independently.
The analytical standard

What makes this different from a signal service.

Signal provenance

Every position cites the Tier 1 record IDs that ground its thesis. No competitor offers this. It is the difference between intelligence and opinion, and it is the core credibility mechanism of the product.

Mechanism-first thesis

Each thesis names the specific mechanism — not the theme, not the general condition. "Energy prices will rise due to supply disruption" is not a Radar Markets thesis. "Hormuz blockade achieved 100% transit denial on day one with SPR at IEA 90-day floor" is.

Concrete break conditions

Every position states a one-sentence, observable break condition. What would make this thesis wrong. Not "monitor developments." A specific, checkable condition. Risk management is built into the format.

Dual-consumer architecture

The brief serves both the human subscriber and automated downstream consumers. Every position carries machine-readable fields sufficient for an execution product to resolve it to exchange, symbol, contract type, and sizing range without guessing.

No invention

Quantitative claims in theses are grounded in the signal record or they do not appear. Thesis family labels are reviewed for narrative drift before validation. The product does not manufacture certainty it does not have.

Intelligence, not advice

Radar Markets delivers structural analysis in trading language. The subscriber makes all decisions and executes independently. Radar Markets does not place trades, connect to brokerages, or act on positions. The architectural separation is preserved at every layer.

The operator

Built by Bearing Partners.

Rob Wilson
Founder · Bearing Partners

Twenty-seven years in uniform, much of it at sea, some of it in command. The ocean does not wait for your reporting cycle. The threat does not announce itself on a schedule that suits your staff process. You learn, in that environment, that the quality of your decisions is largely determined before the moment of decision — by the quality of your reading of what is building toward it.

After the Navy: a startup in the cryptocurrency market of the mid-2010s, where the people who navigated it best were reading the system beneath the market — the leverage concentrations, the structural fragilities accumulating invisibly behind the performance. Then consulting to Navy capability, where an institution I knew intimately was not reading its own system, not because the people making decisions lacked intelligence, but because they had no systematic way of reading the system at the level where the real information lived.

Radar Markets is the trading form of that discipline. The Radar pipeline reads the system state. Radar Markets translates it into positions — every one of them traceable to the signals that ground it.